and then, the hex

Getting Sharp, Fast: Early-Season MLS and World Cup Qualifiers

It’s rare that tension rises this high, this early for the US in a World Cup Qualifying cycle.  Zero points in the first two games, though, led to the heightened importance of this Friday’s home qualifier against Honduras.  The US hired Bruce Arena in the interest of short-term stability, and a review of previous campaigns show that this low-risk approach made sense.  Here are the points by matchday for each US World Cup Hex, from 1998 through today: Continue reading “Getting Sharp, Fast: Early-Season MLS and World Cup Qualifiers”

Global Leaders in Key Passes and Shots

After the in-depth look at MLS Key Passes, let’s look at those findings in a global context.  I analyzed the top 10 players in key passes for the Big 5 Euro leagues, MLS, and added the top-flight from Argentina and Brazil.  All eligible players played at least 500 minutes, and all stats are from the current season or most recent season (2016 for Brasileirão and MLS): Continue reading “Global Leaders in Key Passes and Shots”

Over There: US National Team Transfers from MLS to Europe

In a turbulent year for US Soccer, Christian Pulisic’s rise at Borussia Dortmund emerged as a positive.  Not since John O’Brien at Ajax and Jonathan Spector at Manchester United had a US player charted a similar development path.  Like O’Brien and Spector, Pulisic earned his first US cap in the same year as his professional breakthrough.  However, in the global context, this path is atypical.  It’s more common that a player debuts professionally with a team in his home country and then transfers abroad.

For an American player, that means playing in MLS and then heading abroad.  Where can a player with national team aspirations reasonably expect to go? Continue reading “Over There: US National Team Transfers from MLS to Europe”

Risk and Reward: Key Passes in the 2016 MLS Season

Pep Guardiola, the vanguard of possession soccer, had an innocuous quote turned into an amusing headline when he said Manchester City passed too much against Hull.  What the article misses is that the specific quote about passing less is not a contradiction of the possession philosophy.  As Thierry Henry articulates in this video, Guardiola utilizes possession to advance the team to the final third, where advantageous attacking opportunities mitigate the need for more passing.

The major upsets of 2016 – Leicester’s Premier League title and Portugal’s Euro championship – signaled a blow for possession soccer.  Rather than react away from a possession-based philosophy, though, many top European teams spent this season re-enforcing the benefits of pressing and direct play within the possession framework.  With opponents sitting deeper and deeper, there is an elevated need within this structure for players who can create goal-scoring opportunities.  The trade-off calculation for managers is to field players who assume the right amount of risk.  When should players attempt a riskier pass, one that might lead to a shot for a teammate but could increase the chances of killing the attack? Continue reading “Risk and Reward: Key Passes in the 2016 MLS Season”

Arena’s First Order of Business? Address the Midfield

Even the best of national team management tenures usually end poorly, and Jurgen Klinsmann’s was no different.  After a somewhat self-inflicted loss against Mexico and capitulation against Costa Rica, the US found itself in last place in the Hex.  Enter a manager change: the USSF hired Bruce Arena to ensure the US’ qualification for the 2018 World Cup.  Even with the two game deficit, odds are that the US should still qualify.  What’s unknown is what Arena’s team might look like at the World Cup itself. Continue reading “Arena’s First Order of Business? Address the Midfield”

US Attacking Options Against Mexico

It’s US v Mexico, Round 8 for Jurgen Klinsmann.  Klinsmann started his US coaching tenure with an appropriately disjointed 1-1 draw against Mexico.  Only Michael Bradley, Jermaine Jones, Tim Howard, and Michael Orozco remain from the starting XI that day.  However, the approach to attacking chances represented US v Mexico games in the Klinsmann era.  Mexico favor a high-volume approach to shooting, while the US tend to take fewer shots, but place a higher percentage of those shots on target.

Last year’s Confederation Cup playoff game, though, broke the trend.  Continue reading “US Attacking Options Against Mexico”

The Ballad of Tommy Thompson, MLS Homegrown Attacker

San Jose won the Supporters’ Shield in 2012 in style, scoring a commanding 72 goals and generating a +29 goal differential.  After grabbing a 1-0 lead away, a slip-up against Los Angeles in the return leg of the playoffs tainted an otherwise stellar season.

In hindsight, the 2012 season was an aberration.  The following four season recaps range from “Average” to “This Season Never Happened”.  Worst of all was a dire 2014, when San Jose finished last in the West with a mere 0.88 points per game, its lowest total since rejoining MLS in 2008.  The highlight of the season was a noble shoot-out loss to Toluca in the CONCACAF Champions League with an injury-plagued team.

Amidst such carnage, fans look for optimism wherever they can find it.  One source emerged from the signing of Tommy Thompson, San Jose’s first (and only) homegrown player.   Continue reading “The Ballad of Tommy Thompson, MLS Homegrown Attacker”

The Making of John Brooks

John Brooks produced a Man of the Match performance against Paraguay in the final game of the Copa America group stage.  It was a game that solidified his place as starting center-back for the US.  Brooks followed that game with another outstanding outing against Ecuador, propelling the US to a semi-final match-up with Argentina.

It’s all a far cry from last summer, when Brooks received criticism for his play in the 2015 Gold Cup, most notably against Jamaica.  In just a year, how did Brooks go from a lightning rod for criticism to a player that inspired a hashtag? Continue reading “The Making of John Brooks”

Goal of the Week: Juan Agudelo v. Argentina, March 2011

With a Copa America semi-final looming, let’s look back at the last American to score a goal against Argentina.  Continue reading “Goal of the Week: Juan Agudelo v. Argentina, March 2011”

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